Probabilités de passage d'incapacité temporaire en invalidité

Sur la première colonne figure l'âge à l'arrêt de travail; sur la première ligne, le nombre de mois écoulés depuis l'arrêt de travail.

Chaque ligne donne, pour un âge à l'arrêt de travail donné, le nombre d'incapables reconnus invalides par la sécurité sociale au cours d'un mois fixé, ce nombre étant rapporté à un effectif originel de 10 000.

| Age |Mois| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |---------------|----|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |10 |11 |12 |13 |14 |15 |16 |17 | |20 ans ou moins| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | | 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | 34 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | | 35 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | | 37 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 | | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | | 40 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 | | 42 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 |10 | | 43 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |11 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 7 |13 | | 44 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 7 |11 | 5 | 6 |13 | 9 |13 | | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |10 | 5 | 4 | 8 |11 | 5 | 6 |12 | 9 | 8 | | 46 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |12 | 5 | 6 |11 |11 | 7 |10 |10 | 9 |10 | | 47 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 |12 | 5 | 8 |13 |11 |10 |14 |10 |10 | 9 | | 48 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |15 | 6 | 9 |14 |14 |12 |18 |13 |10 | 9 | | 49 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 |10 |12 |12 |10 |10 |16 |13 |20 |15 |17 |11 | | 50 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 9 |12 |12 |12 |12 |15 |16 |15 |25 |18 |20 |17 | | 51 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |11 |10 |15 |17 |14 |13 |17 |17 |17 |26 |28 |28 |24 | | 52 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |12 |11 |18 |20 |16 |14 |21 |22 |17 |25 |40 |36 |27 | | 53 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |13 |14 |20 |20 |17 |19 |25 |22 |18 |31 |44 |43 |33 | | 54 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3 |15 |17 |16 |22 |15 |22 |28 |25 |20 |38 |48 |49 |39 | | 55 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4 |12 |14 |16 |25 |16 |22 |27 |28 |21 |39 |57 |53 |41 | | 56 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 |14 |16 |18 |23 |18 |24 |30 |28 |21 |40 |57 |56 |41 | | 57 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3 |15 |18 |18 |25 |19 |26 |32 |30 |22 |42 |63 |61 |46 | | 58 | 12 |11 | 3 | 6 | 3 |15 |18 |17 |26 |19 |27 |33 |32 |23 |45 |68 |65 |48 | | 59 | 14 |11 | 4 | 6 | 3 |15 |18 |18 |27 |21 |29 |35 |34 |24 |46 |72 |69 |50 |

| Age |Mois| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |---------------|----|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | | 18 |19 |20 |21 |22 |23 |24 |25 |26 |27 |28 |29 |30 |31 |32 |33 |34 |35 | |20 ans ou moins| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |97 | | 21 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |97 | | 22 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |97 | | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |39 | | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |28 | | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |39 | | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |37 | | 27 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |43 | | 28 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |45 | | 29 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |51 | | 30 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |50 | | 31 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |57 | | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |55 | | 33 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |59 | | 34 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |64 | | 35 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |69 | | 36 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 |68 | | 37 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 6 |76 | | 38 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 7 |93 | | 39 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 |12 | 1 |10 | 9 | 3 | 6 |12 |103| | 40 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |12 | 3 |11 | 7 | 3 | 6 |10 |114| | 41 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 |11 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 |12 | 5 |13 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 |137| | 42 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |15 | 8 | 2 |10 | 6 |17 | 8 |14 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |153| | 43 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 |14 |11 | 4 |12 | 7 |21 |12 |14 | 2 | 7 |13 | 4 |155| | 44 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 |12 | 5 |12 | 8 |18 |15 |12 | 5 | 7 |12 | 4 |169| | 45 | 14 |10 | 8 |11 | 6 |10 |12 | 8 |13 |11 |21 |19 |11 | 7 |12 |15 |13 |179| | 46 | 19 |13 | 8 |11 |11 | 9 |16 |13 |15 |12 |21 |20 |12 | 7 |14 |14 |15 |182| | 47 | 24 |16 |10 |17 |17 |13 |15 |20 |12 |11 |16 |20 |12 | 9 |13 |17 |17 |196| | 48 | 23 |15 |13 |20 |21 |17 |19 |22 |16 |13 |12 |23 |19 |17 |18 |11 |21 |215| | 49 | 26 |22 |19 |22 |29 |16 |19 |26 |17 |20 |19 |20 |21 |18 |23 |14 |18 |223| | 50 | 20 |26 |23 |26 |32 |25 |25 |26 |24 |21 |21 |15 |26 |17 |22 |13 |17 |243| | 51 | 20 |29 |28 |29 |33 |27 |23 |26 |25 |26 |22 |14 |29 |16 |18 |17 |17 |268| | 52 | 23 |32 |30 |32 |33 |26 |29 |23 |37 |28 |29 |18 |30 |21 |27 |19 |18 |283| | 53 | 29 |40 |28 |41 |33 |31 |31 |25 |38 |34 |37 |16 |27 |20 |28 |20 |21 |286| | 54 | 38 |31 |31 |46 |33 |40 |36 |29 |39 |30 |34 |15 |25 |19 |24 |20 |21 |310| | 55 | 38 |26 |32 |41 |35 |33 |33 |26 |34 |38 |32 |15 |22 |16 |21 |19 |16 |292| | 56 | 37 |29 |32 |44 |34 |36 |36 |24 |38 |36 |35 |14 |22 |16 |23 |21 |17 |298| | 57 | 39 |29 |33 |47 |35 |38 |38 |24 |40 |38 |38 |12 |22 |16 |23 |21 |17 |306| | 58 | 42 |24 |34 |47 |35 |39 |39 |23 |39 |39 |36 |12 |20 |14 |20 |21 |15 |307| | 59 | 41 |24 |35 |47 |36 |38 |40 |21 |40 |42 |38 |11 |19 |13 |21 |22 |14 |305|